Palermo vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palermo v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Palermo
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Sampdoria
İTA
Palermo 1-0 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo edged past Sampdoria 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Palermo had 43% of the ball to Sampdoria's 57%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.47 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palermo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palermo and 1.00 for Sampdoria.
What was the final score of Palermo vs Sampdoria?
Palermo 1-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palermo vs Sampdoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Palermo 54%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.