Reggiana 1-0 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2026

📅10/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.94
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
10%
5.76
X/2
12%
6.06
X/X
15%
3.8
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
13%
4.28
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
17.7 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Mantova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.95 xG 0.79
27% Ball Possession 73%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
182 Passes 570
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2025 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
29.12.2024 Mantova Mantova 0-2 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
18.08.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-0
AWAY Mantova
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
158 Passes 497
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana edged past Mantova 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Reggiana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Reggiana had 30% of the ball to Mantova's 70%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Reggiana and 0.67 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Mantova?

Reggiana 1-0 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 38%, draw 30%, Mantova 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reggiana), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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