Virtus Entella vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus Entella v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Virtus Entella vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Cesena
İTC
2-2
HT 2-0
Virtus Entella
İTK
4-0
HT 2-0
Virtus Entella
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTC
Virtus Entella 3-1 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Virtus Entella saw off Cesena 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Virtus Entella made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Virtus Entella had 34% of the ball to Cesena's 66%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.76 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cesena.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Virtus Entella and 2.00 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Cesena?
Virtus Entella 3-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 34%, draw 30%, Cesena 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5 went the other way.