Mantova vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mantova v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Mantova 0-1 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Reggiana edged past Mantova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mantova at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Mantova had 76% of the ball to Reggiana's 24%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.02 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mantova and 2.00 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Mantova vs Reggiana?
Mantova 0-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mantova vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mantova 47%, draw 25%, Reggiana 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mantova) went the other way.