Avellino 1-1 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.05
1/2
5%
23.55
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
9%
8.99
X/2
13%
4.37
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.33
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 57%
+28% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.94
+90% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
8.0 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
17.02.2018 Venezia Venezia 3-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
18.09.2017 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
17.08.2014 Avellino Avellino 2-0 HT 2-0 Venezia Venezia İTK
27.02.2004 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
27.09.2003 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1-1
AWAY Venezia
0.29 xG 2.21
28% Ball Possession 72%
2 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
161 Passes 506
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 37
5 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino and Venezia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Venezia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Avellino had 28% of the ball to Venezia's 72%, shots finished 2-26, expected goals 0.29 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Avellino and 1.20 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Venezia?

Avellino 1-1 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avellino 27%, draw 26%, Venezia 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venezia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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