Monza 1-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.1
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
12%
16.2
X/1
21%
3.94
X/2
6%
10.75
X/X
8%
4.76
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
5%
9.55
2/X
4%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.76/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.26
-8% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.4 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
514 Passes 374
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2024 Monza Monza 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTK
31.01.2015 Monza Monza 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
1-1
AWAY Südtirol
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
473 Passes 235
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Monza vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Südtirol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Monza carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Monza had 63% of the ball to Südtirol's 37%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Monza and 0.50 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Monza vs Südtirol?

Monza 1-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Monza 59%, draw 24%, Südtirol 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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