Modena 1-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Dec 2025

Modena
1-2 HT 1-0
Catanzaro
📅08/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Modena vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
20%
4.07
X/2
6%
10.2
X/X
14%
4.83
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
7%
8.77
2/X
5%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.56/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.49
-4% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.5 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Modena vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 Passes 422
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
06.10.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
12.04.2024 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
04.11.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
31.07.2022 Modena Modena 3-1 HT 2-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTK
25.02.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB

Modena 1-2 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-2
AWAY Catanzaro
1.41 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
268 Passes 379
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 22
34 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Modena vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro nicked a narrow win over Modena 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Modena carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Modena had 44% of the ball to Catanzaro's 56%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.41 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Modena and 1.50 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Modena vs Catanzaro?

Modena 1-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Modena 57%, draw 24%, Catanzaro 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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