Modena 2-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Mar 2025

Modena
2-1 HT 1-0
Catanzaro
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Modena vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.82
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
11%
12.85
X/1
18%
4.78
X/2
9%
7.77
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
10%
6.05
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.25/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.55
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.8 Crosses 15.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Modena vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 0.91
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 412
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
12.04.2024 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
04.11.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
31.07.2022 Modena Modena 3-1 HT 2-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTK
25.02.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
09.10.2005 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB

Modena 2-1 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
2-1
AWAY Catanzaro
0.74 xG 1.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
250 Passes 450
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Modena vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena squeezed past Catanzaro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Modena had 38% of the ball to Catanzaro's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Catanzaro.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Modena and 1.33 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Modena vs Catanzaro?

Modena 2-1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Modena 46%, draw 28%, Catanzaro 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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