Mantova 2-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Mar 2025

Mantova
2-0 HT 2-0
Südtirol
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Mantova vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 35% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.48
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.46
X/2
15%
6.55
X/X
15%
4.06
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mantova v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.05/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
+9% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
12.8 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Mantova vs Südtirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Südtirol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.16 xG 1.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
512 Passes 170
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 2-2 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
06.03.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
24.10.2021 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
08.03.2021 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
11.11.2020 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
19.04.2015 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-1 Mantova Mantova İTC

Mantova 2-0 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
2-0
AWAY Südtirol
0.84 xG 1.49
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
436 Passes 148
82% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 41
6 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova got the better of Südtirol 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Mantova made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Mantova had 66% of the ball to Südtirol's 34%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.84 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Südtirol.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mantova and 1.17 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Südtirol?

Mantova 2-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mantova 35%, draw 28%, Südtirol 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Südtirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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