Sampdoria 0-3 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.59
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2
13%
8.5
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
11%
6.98
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.41
-10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.3 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
432 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 2-2 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
10.02.2019 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
15.09.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-5 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
28.02.2016 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
18.10.2015 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
0-3
AWAY Frosinone
1.51 xG 2.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
254 Passes 263
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone swept aside Sampdoria 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Sampdoria had 50% of the ball to Frosinone's 50%, shots finished 13-24, expected goals 1.51 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sampdoria and 1.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Frosinone?

Sampdoria 0-3 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 43%, draw 28%, Frosinone 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sampdoria), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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