Sassuolo 5-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.47
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.32
X/2
10%
8.64
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
7.17
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.50/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.18
-2% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.4 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.64 xG 1.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
378 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 6
29.11.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 0-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
5-1
AWAY Reggiana
2.27 xG 0.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
376 Passes 415
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo ran out comfortable winners over Reggiana 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo had 47% of the ball to Reggiana's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.27 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Reggiana?

Sassuolo 5-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 44%, draw 29%, Reggiana 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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