Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 HT 1-0
Nottingham Forest
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.75
X/1
19%
4.07
X/2
6%
10.2
X/X
7%
6.07
2/1
8%
20.6
2/2
8%
7.19
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.95/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.62
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
422 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.0 Crosses 13.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.78 xG 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
26.04.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
18.10.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
04.03.2017 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNCL
12.08.2016 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
11.04.2016 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNCL

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.43 xG 0.70
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
623 Passes 311
92% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion edged past Nottingham Forest 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 64% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 36%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.43 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.50 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest?

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 55%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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