Deportivo Maipu 1-2 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
0.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.04
-19% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
19.03.2022 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
13.08.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
03.04.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Maipu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Agropecuario Argentino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.00 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Deportivo Maipu 1-2 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 33%, draw 30%, Agropecuario Argentino 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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