Fraijanes 1-3 Deportivo Barberena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fraijanes The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Barberena The Market 53%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fraijanes vs Deportivo Barberena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Barberena saw off Fraijanes 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Deportivo Barberena made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Fraijanes vs Deportivo Barberena?

Fraijanes 1-3 Deportivo Barberena in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fraijanes vs Deportivo Barberena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Barberena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fraijanes 31%, draw 29%, Deportivo Barberena 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Barberena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Barberena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAP More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
10 Mar 2024
20:00 Solola vs Santa Lucia Analysis →
20:00 Cuilapa vs Universidad San Carlos Analysis →
20:00 Nueva Concepcion vs Iztapa Analysis →
21:00 Peten vs Aurora Analysis →