10/03/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Peten vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
42%
28%
Draw
25%
27%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Peten v Aurora — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Peten
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aurora
The Market 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
261 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
270 · 68%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Peten vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Peten
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Aurora
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Peten vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Peten edged past Aurora 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Peten as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Peten vs Aurora?
Peten 2-1 Aurora in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Peten vs Aurora?
Before kick-off our model rated a Peten win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Peten 46%, draw 28%, Aurora 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peten) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Peten)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
10 Mar 2024