Boluspor 1-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 38% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
13%
5.71
X/X
19%
4.15
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
14%
4.16
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.6pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.11/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.17
-23% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.7 Crosses 21.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
16.02.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
20.09.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
01.05.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
26.12.2020 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
23.02.2020 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.52 xG 0.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 7
246 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 23
4 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor edged past İstanbulspor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Boluspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Boluspor had 41% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 59%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.52 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boluspor and 1.00 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs İstanbulspor?

Boluspor 1-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 36%, draw 30%, İstanbulspor 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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