Kocaelispor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.0
X/1
17%
3.89
X/2
10%
10.8
X/X
7%
4.94
2/1
11%
25.0
2/2
9%
9.5
2/X
6%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.24/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.85
-26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +90%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.11
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
283 Passes 432
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 4-2 HT 2-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
15.01.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
22.08.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
03.11.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
05.04.2009 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 4-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
02.11.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
1-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.92 xG 1.86
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
417 Passes 216
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor and MKE Ankaragücü shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 63% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 37%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 0.92 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kocaelispor and 2.00 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Kocaelispor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 52%, draw 24%, MKE Ankaragücü 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kocaelispor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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