MKE Ankaragücü 4-2 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.38
6+ Goals
7%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
11%
6.56
X/X
10%
4.16
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.19
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.08/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.15
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.4 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.70 xG 0.73
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
482 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
22.08.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
03.11.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
05.04.2009 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 4-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
02.11.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
13.04.2003 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
4-2
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.92 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
331 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü got the better of Kocaelispor 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 49% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 51%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.92 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 0.67 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Kocaelispor?

MKE Ankaragücü 4-2 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 48%, draw 24%, Kocaelispor 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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