Şanlıurfaspor 3-3 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
6%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.42
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
17%
5.04
X/2
12%
5.87
X/X
18%
4.37
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.23
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.3pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.14/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.58
-17% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
30.6 Crosses 9.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3-3
AWAY Iğdır FK
2.11 xG 2.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
219 Passes 329
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor and Iğdır FK couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 43% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 57%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.11 to 2.75.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Iğdır FK?

Şanlıurfaspor 3-3 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şanlıurfaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 40%, draw 32%, Iğdır FK 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
26 Oct 2024
13:30 Çorum FK vs Gençlerbirliği Analysis →
13:30 Ümraniyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor Analysis →
19:00 MKE Ankaragücü vs Kocaelispor Analysis →