Ümraniyespor 2-0 Yeni Malatyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.0pp
16%
Draw
11%
+5.1pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.05/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.77
+16% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
19.5 Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
09.04.2017 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
06.11.2016 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
15.10.2014 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
2-0
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
2.09 xG 0.17
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
613 Passes 222
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor saw off Yeni Malatyaspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 71% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 29%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.09 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.00 for Yeni Malatyaspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Ümraniyespor 2-0 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 68%, draw 16%, Yeni Malatyaspor 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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