Çorum FK 1-0 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
11%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
11%
6.03
X/X
16%
4.08
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.74
2/X
9%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +16%
2.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
28.4 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.41 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
320 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
03.09.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
1-0
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.36 xG 1.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
299 Passes 412
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK squeezed past Gençlerbirliği 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Çorum FK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Çorum FK had 43% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 57%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.36 to 1.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gençlerbirliği.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Çorum FK and 0.50 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Çorum FK 1-0 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 39%, draw 32%, Gençlerbirliği 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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