Keçiörengücü 1-3 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.23
6+ Goals
11%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
10%
6.77
X/X
11%
3.74
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
16%
5.62
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.41/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
+7% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.2 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
318 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 4-0 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
10.03.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
21.10.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
08.03.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
17.09.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-2 HT 2-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
14.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-2 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-3
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.04 xG 1.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
233 Passes 141
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK beat Keçiörengücü 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Keçiörengücü at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 58% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 42%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.04 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.67 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor FK?

Keçiörengücü 1-3 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 42%, draw 26%, Erzurumspor FK 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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