AS Eupen 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.46/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.51
-15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.7 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.67 xG 2.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 HT 3-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
09.02.2025 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
21.09.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
0-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.20 xG 1.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
334 Passes 264
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen squeezed past AS Eupen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AS Eupen at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 56% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 44%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.20 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AS Eupen and 3.00 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

AS Eupen 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 53%, draw 26%, Lierse Kempenzonen 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Eupen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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