Loughgall FC 0-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.64
No
55%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.91
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
29%
2.87
6+
10%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.91 — our 23% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Loughgall FC The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC The Market 26%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.94 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.03
0.55 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.59
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Great Defensevs comparable teams Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
27.09.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
01.03.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
08.04.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
29.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 6-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
REVIEW Loughgall FC vs Ards FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ards FC found just enough to beat Loughgall FC 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

File this under upsets: a 62% lean on Loughgall FC went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals card split: no to both teams scoring (55%) came in, over 2.5 goals (57%) didn't.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Loughgall FC and 0.83 for Ards FC.

Loughgall FC vs Ards FC Result & Final Score

Loughgall FC 0-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Loughgall FC vs Ards FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 62%, draw 19%, Ards FC 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Loughgall FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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