Uganda Police vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs SC Villa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Uganda Police
UGA
Uganda Police 1-0 SC Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police squeezed past SC Villa 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Uganda Police made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Uganda Police had 37% of the ball to SC Villa's 63%, shots finished 8-15.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uganda Police and 1.33 for SC Villa.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs SC Villa?
Uganda Police 1-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs SC Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 36%, draw 30%, SC Villa 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.