Mbarara City vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v Kitara — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Kitara
UGA
Kitara nicked a narrow win over Mbarara City 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kitara led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mbarara City and 1.20 for Kitara.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Kitara?
Mbarara City 0-1 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Kitara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 23%, draw 32%, Kitara 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.