Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.28/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.06
+25% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
207 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Imabari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Imabari Imabari 3-0 HT 3-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
17.06.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
25.09.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-3 HT 1-2 Imabari Imabari JAP3
29.04.2022 Imabari Imabari 0-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
10.10.2021 Imabari Imabari 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
02.05.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 HT 1-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-2
AWAY Imabari
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari nicked a narrow win over Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Imabari as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 56% of the ball to Imabari's 44%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.33 for Imabari.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Imabari?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 Imabari in the Japan - J3 League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 26%, draw 27%, Imabari 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imabari) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5
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