Atletico Madrid II vs Marbella Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid II v Marbella — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid II vs Marbella Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Atletico Madrid II 5-4 Marbella — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid II nicked a narrow win over Marbella 5-4. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 56% of the ball to Marbella's 44%, shots finished 19-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 1.33 for Marbella.
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Marbella?
Atletico Madrid II 5-4 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Marbella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 51%, draw 25%, Marbella 24%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.