Al Ain 3-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.42
6+ Goals
6%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.20/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.31
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.5 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.73 xG 1.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
328 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2025 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
07.04.2025 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
10.01.2025 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
27.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
26.11.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
01.04.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
3-2
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
2.15 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
199 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Ain found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ain had 45% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 55%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 2.15 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ain and 0.67 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Ain 3-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 34%, draw 28%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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