Mostaganem 0-3 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
13%
4.41
6+ Goals
12%
23.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 38% vs market 33.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.06/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.23
-9% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostaganem
1W-0D-2L
AWAY USM Khenchela
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 1-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR
25.02.2025 Mostaganem Mostaganem 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
06.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
0-3
AWAY USM Khenchela
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela ran out comfortable winners over Mostaganem 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; USM Khenchela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostaganem had 46% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 54%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mostaganem and 1.00 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela?

Mostaganem 0-3 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 38%, draw 32%, USM Khenchela 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mostaganem), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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