HB Koge 2-0 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.77/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.64
-24% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +64%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.9 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Middelfart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.98 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN1
16.08.2025 Middelfart Middelfart 2-2 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
2-0
AWAY Middelfart
2.45 xG 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge got the better of Middelfart 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had HB Koge as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 52% of the ball to Middelfart's 48%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.45 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HB Koge and 2.00 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Middelfart?

HB Koge 2-0 Middelfart in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a HB Koge win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 55%, draw 23%, Middelfart 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HB Koge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HB Koge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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