Hobro IK 0-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 27% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.21
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.04
X/2
14%
6.28
X/X
8%
4.46
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.51
2/X
10%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.22/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
-28% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.8 Crosses 18.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Aalborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
350 Passes 423
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
01.08.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
29.06.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg HAZ
05.05.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-3 HT 2-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
12.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
26.11.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 1-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg squeezed past Hobro IK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Aalborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hobro IK and 1.00 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Aalborg?

Hobro IK 0-1 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 39%, draw 26%, Aalborg 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hobro IK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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