Hobro IK 1-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
5.09
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
41%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
16%
+16.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.4pp
41%
Away Win
64%
-22.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aalborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
297 Passes 447
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-3 HT 2-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
12.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
26.11.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 1-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
24.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-2 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
01.12.2019 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN
05.10.2019 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
1-1
AWAY Aalborg
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK and Aalborg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aalborg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Hobro IK had 39% of the ball to Aalborg's 61%, shots finished 13-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hobro IK and 1.50 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Aalborg?

Hobro IK 1-1 Aalborg in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 33%, draw 26%, Aalborg 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalborg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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