Manchester United U21 1-3 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 10 Apr 2026

Manchester United U21
1-3 HT 0-2
Newcastle United U21
📅10/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Manchester United U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United U21 v Newcastle United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 23%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
3.02/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.91
+38% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.7 Crosses 11.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Manchester United U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle United U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
424 Passes 312
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2

Manchester United U21 1-3 Newcastle United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
1-3
AWAY Newcastle United U21
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
520 Passes 205
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 beat Manchester United U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United U21 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 68% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 32%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Manchester United U21 1-3 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 54%, draw 21%, Newcastle United U21 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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