Aston Villa U21 0-2 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.35
No
50%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
70%
-20.5pp
50%
BTTS No
30%
+20.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.19/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.27
+17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.53 xG 0.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
432 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 4-2 HT 3-0 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 INGPL2
16.02.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 4-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
0-2
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
400 Passes 224
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough U21 saw off Aston Villa U21 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Middlesbrough U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 62% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 38%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Aston Villa U21 and 2.00 for Middlesbrough U21.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Aston Villa U21 0-2 Middlesbrough U21 in the INGPL2 on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 32%, draw 21%, Middlesbrough U21 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough U21), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) ✓ Under 2.5
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