Middlesbrough U21 4-2 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.32
No
47%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
17%
Draw
22%
-4.6pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
-18.4pp
47%
BTTS No
28%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 26.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.56 xG 2.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
294 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.02.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 4-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
4-2
AWAY Aston Villa U21
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
244 Passes 437
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough U21 saw off Aston Villa U21 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa U21 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 40% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 60%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Middlesbrough U21 4-2 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 33%, draw 17%, Aston Villa U21 50%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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