Southampton U21 0-2 Crystal Palace U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.33
No
59%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
71%
-30.1pp
59%
BTTS No
29%
+30.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/10.00
-26% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -76%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 13.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.59 xG 0.35
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
646 Passes 206
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2024 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 4-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace U21 Crystal Palace U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
0-2
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
541 Passes 216
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 saw off Southampton U21 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Southampton U21 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 69% of the ball to Crystal Palace U21's 31%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Southampton U21 0-2 Crystal Palace U21 in the INGPL2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 56%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace U21 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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