Chelsea U21 3-1 Leicester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.33
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
4.0
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
71%
-21.1pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.1pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.1pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-63% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.5 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
3-1
AWAY Leicester City U21
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
505 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Leicester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 saw off Leicester City U21 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 67% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 33%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Chelsea U21 3-1 Leicester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 50%, draw 25%, Leicester City U21 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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