Gabes 0-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
38%
2.77
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.75
2-3 Goals
33%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
7.16
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.6pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 36%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.18/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.86
+55% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gabes
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ben Guerdane
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-1 HT 0-1 Gabes Gabes TUN1
20.04.2025 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 3-0 HT 2-0 Gabes Gabes TUN1
20.12.2024 Gabes Gabes 1-1 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
POST-MATCH Gabes vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane edged past Gabes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 38% / 32% — and on the day Ben Guerdane made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ben Guerdane led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gabes and 1.67 for Ben Guerdane.

What was the final score of Gabes vs Ben Guerdane?

Gabes 0-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gabes 31%, draw 38%, Ben Guerdane 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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