Hillerod 3-2 FC Helsingor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
20%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.03 — our 27% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
20%
3.76
X/2
11%
14.1
X/X
13%
6.94
2/1
6%
20.65
2/2
6%
10.25
2/X
6%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.50/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.28
+10% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
470 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
24.4 Crosses 15.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
2W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Helsingor
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.19 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
411 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-2 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
01.03.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 4-2 HT 2-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
23.08.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-6 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
03.03.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
10.09.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
3-2
AWAY FC Helsingor
1.22 xG 1.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
444 Passes 371
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs FC Helsingor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod edged past FC Helsingor 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hillerod had 53% of the ball to FC Helsingor's 47%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.22 to 1.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Helsingor.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Hillerod and 1.80 for FC Helsingor.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs FC Helsingor?

Hillerod 3-2 FC Helsingor in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs FC Helsingor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 52%, draw 24%, FC Helsingor 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ BTTS No
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