Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
0-3
HT 0-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
5-1
HT 3-1
Cardiff MU
GAL
Caernarfon Town 2-0 Cardiff MU — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town got the better of Cardiff MU 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Caernarfon Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Caernarfon Town had 62% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 38%, shots finished 8-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.33 for Cardiff MU.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU?
Caernarfon Town 2-0 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 40%, draw 28%, Cardiff MU 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.