Southampton 0-0 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.24
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
21.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
1/X
6%
29.5
X/1
7%
24.65
X/2
18%
3.81
X/X
7%
9.33
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
32%
1.38
2/X
9%
25.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
7%
+11.7pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.3pp
59%
Away Win
79%
-20.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 84%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
0.88/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.77
+29% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +15%
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
240 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 603 · 89%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.2
13.7 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Manchester City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.61 xG 2.43
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
262 Passes 615
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 1-0 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
08.04.2023 Southampton Southampton 1-4 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
11.01.2023 Southampton Southampton 2-0 HT 2-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNLK
08.10.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 4-0 HT 2-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
20.03.2022 Southampton Southampton 1-4 HT 1-1 Manchester City Manchester City FAK
22.01.2022 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
0-0
AWAY Manchester City
0.10 xG 1.82
28% Ball Possession 72%
2 Total Shots 26
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 15
196 Passes 573
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 77
5 Crosses 44
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton and Manchester City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Manchester City carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southampton had 28% of the ball to Manchester City's 72%, shots finished 2-26, expected goals 0.10 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southampton and 2.33 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Manchester City?

Southampton 0-0 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Southampton 19%, draw 22%, Manchester City 59%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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