Ipswich Town 0-1 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.63
2-3 Goals
34%
2.04
4-5 Goals
33%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
18.8
1/X
6%
16.75
X/1
8%
11.75
X/2
12%
4.36
X/X
8%
7.28
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
34%
1.87
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.8 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.3pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 66%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -69% / -69%
0.89/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.81
-19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
15.6 Crosses 24.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brentford
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 2.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 419
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Brentford Brentford 4-3 HT 2-2 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
10.04.2019 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
18.09.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNCL
07.04.2018 Brentford Brentford 1-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
19.08.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNCL
04.03.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Brentford Brentford İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
0-1
AWAY Brentford
0.93 xG 1.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 319
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford squeezed past Ipswich Town 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 49% of the ball to Brentford's 51%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.93 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.50 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Brentford?

Ipswich Town 0-1 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 24%, draw 20%, Brentford 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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