Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bournemouth v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bournemouth 0-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa edged past Bournemouth 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aston Villa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 66% to 34% in Bournemouth's favour, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.80 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Bournemouth against 1.67 for Aston Villa.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 37%, draw 27%, Aston Villa 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.