Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
3-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Aston Villa
İNP
2-1
HT 2-0
Aston Villa
İNP
Bournemouth 0-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa edged past Bournemouth 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aston Villa found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 66% of the ball to Aston Villa's 34%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.80 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bournemouth and 1.67 for Aston Villa.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
Bournemouth 0-1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 36%, draw 28%, Aston Villa 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.