Fulham 1-3 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 34% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.34
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.34
X/2
10%
9.2
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
12%
7.48
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.39/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.55
-27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
29.1 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Everton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.43 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
424 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
30.01.2024 Fulham Fulham 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
19.12.2023 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNLK
12.08.2023 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
15.04.2023 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
29.10.2022 Fulham Fulham 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-3
AWAY Everton
0.79 xG 1.12
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
476 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton beat Fulham 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fulham had 64% of the ball to Everton's 36%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.79 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 0.50 for Everton.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Everton?

Fulham 1-3 Everton in the England - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fulham 44%, draw 26%, Everton 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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