Mallorca vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mallorca v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Valladolid
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Valladolid
İS1
3-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Mallorca
İSPK
Mallorca 2-1 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics
Mallorca edged past Valladolid 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Mallorca had 61% of the ball to Valladolid's 39%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.01 to 1.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valladolid.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mallorca and 1.67 for Valladolid.
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Mallorca 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 51%, draw 25%, Valladolid 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca) — while BTTS No went the other way.