Celta Vigo vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sevilla
İS1
2-2
HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Sevilla
İS1
2-2
HT 0-2
Celta Vigo
İS1
Celta Vigo 3-2 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Sevilla 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 50% of the ball to Sevilla's 50%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.88 to 2.31 — on chances, Sevilla could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.33 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
Celta Vigo 3-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 45%, draw 28%, Sevilla 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.