Fiorentina (K) 0-1 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.33/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.57
-24% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.4
15.3 Crosses 26.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Roma (K)
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.69 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 424
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
09.02.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
06.01.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSK
09.11.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
19.05.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 5-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
20.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
0-1
AWAY Roma (K)
0.86 xG 2.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
321 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) squeezed past Fiorentina (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 51% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 49%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 0.86 to 2.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 1.83 for Roma (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Roma (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 0-1 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 29%, draw 27%, Roma (K) 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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