Launceston City 4-1 Riverside Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.0pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.3pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Riverside Olympic EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
3.31/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.90
+25% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Riverside Olympic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.07.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic AVNPL
24.05.2024 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic 0-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
03.04.2024 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic 0-3 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
15.03.2024 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic 7-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
30.08.2023 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic 1-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
26.05.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 4-0 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Riverside Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City ran out comfortable winners over Riverside Olympic 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Launceston City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Launceston City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Launceston City and 1.50 for Riverside Olympic.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Riverside Olympic?

Launceston City 4-1 Riverside Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Riverside Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 62%, draw 22%, Riverside Olympic 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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