Weston Bears 2-1 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
25%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-19.1pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+14.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +23%
2.66/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.57
+0% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-0 HT 1-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
13.04.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-0 HT 2-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
02.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-3 HT 0-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
03.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
14.08.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-1 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
24.04.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-0 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears edged past Valentine Phoenix 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valentine Phoenix led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weston Bears and 1.33 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Valentine Phoenix?

Weston Bears 2-1 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 55%, draw 19%, Valentine Phoenix 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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